Colder weather on the way

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  • Forecast model prediction for the weather evolution over the next ten days. Credit: MeteoGroup.

    Minimum temperatures recorded on the night of Wednesday 6th January across northern Europe.

  • Colder weather on the way
    07.01.2016 16:53


    After an exceptionally mild and wet start to the winter, a change in pattern looks set to take place through the coming days with much colder weather in prospect for the
    UK next week.

    December was dominated by a moist south-westerly airflow of tropical origin, with an active jet stream bringing frequent spells of wet and windy weather through the month. Devastating floods hit parts of northern and western Britain with over three times the average monthly rainfall falling in Wales and northern England. A new 24 hour rainfall record was also set, with a staggering 341mm falling at Honister Pass in Cumbria. With a Central England Temperature of 9.7C, it was also the mildest December in over 350 years of records, smashing the previous record of 8.1C set in 1934 and 1974 by a considerable margin. Daytime temperatures reached 17C on occasion, while overnight frosts were almost completely absent.

    The unseasonable warmth was not confined only to the UK, with much of Europe experiencing above average temperatures through December. However, the New Year brought a dramatic change across Eastern Europe with the past week seeing some heavy snow and exceptionally low temperatures across Scandinavia, Russia, Poland and the Baltic States, with overnight temperatures reaching -30C in places. And while conditions aren’t likely to become as extreme in the UK, it is set to turn noticeably colder in the coming week with many areas likely to see their first notable wintry spell of the season.

    Through the remainder of this week, areas of low pressure will start to take a more southerly track across the UK than of late. While many areas will see further showers or longer spells of rain, there will be an increasing risk of some snow across northern areas. Scotland in particular will be at risk of some significant falls through Sunday, with temperatures struggling to rise much above freezing in places.

    Into next week, low pressure will become more established to the east of the UK, with a build of high pressure taking place across the mid Atlantic and Greenland. North to north-westerly winds are therefore likely to become more dominant, drawing cold air down from the Arctic. Some widespread overnight frosts are possible, and showers could become wintry more widely with the risk of some snowfall to lower levels.

    With the onset of the wintry weather still a few days away, there of course remains some uncertainty in the detail. However, you can keep up to date with the latest information on our website, through our WeatherPro app and by following us on social media networks.

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    By: Billy Payne