Nate becomes the ninth Atlantic hurricane this year

  • Infra-red satellite image showing Hurricane Nate, the mass of cloud over the Gulf of Mexico, as per 1600 BST Saturday 7th October. The dots show where lightning was occurring; both within the hurricane and also near to the Pacific coast of Mexico within thunderstorms there. Image: MeteoGroup.

    Expected 24 hour rainfall totals to 00 BST Monday (as per ECMWF). Image: MeteoGroup

    Expected 24 hour rainfall totals to 00BST Tuesday (as per ECMWF). Image: MeteoGroup.

  • Nate becomes the ninth Atlantic hurricane this year
    07.10.2017 15:41

    Nate has become the ninth hurricane in a row to affect the Atlantic basin in what has been a very active season so far. Indeed, this hurricane season has now experienced 15 confirmed tropical cyclones and five major hurricanes.

    Nate is set to batter the Gulf coast of the USA through tonight and early Sunday morning, in an area stretching from eastern parts of Louisiana to south-western fringes of Alabama state. Fortunately, the impacts look like not being as catastrophic as those caused by hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria but still severe.

    Nate has already caused some severe damage and loss of life in Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Honduras, El Salvador and Panama through the past week. Early on Sunday, Nate will bring maximum sustained winds of around 100mph as it approaches the Gulf coast, with gusts to 130mph. Furthermore, as sea water piles-up against the Gulf coast, a storm surge is likely to cause flooding within coastal tributaries in Alabama and Mississippi.

    Through the coming days, Nate will rapidly weaken as it moves inland and northwards over the eastern side of the US. Many south-eastern and eastern areas of the US, including the Appalachians, will experience a drenching though as tropical moisture spreads northwards, with up to 100-150mm+ of rainfall, bringing further local flooding. However, eastern coasts will enjoy some tropical heat with temperatures into the low 30s Celsius as far north as Delaware and up to 28 Celsius in New York, well above the October average.

    Back in the UK, the weather is set to be less eventful through the coming week. It will be a reasonably mild week, perhaps locally warm in the south later in the week with highs approaching 20 Celsius. There will be occasional rain too, most widely on Wednesday.

    By: Paul Mott