Warm weather continues

  • Warm weather continues
    19.04.2011 13:42


    The ghost of summer future seems to be haunting our spring. The remarkably dry and warm weather that many of us have enjoyed will continue through the coming week, which means a fine Easter for many parts of the UK.

    Temperatures will continue to push well into the 20s Celsius in the more favoured inland areas of
    England, Wales and western Scotland, and a few spots, most likely in the southeast, will reach 25 degrees or more. However, towards the coasts of northeast England and eastern Scotland it will be markedly cooler, and occasionally rather grey and misty as a breeze comes off the chilly North Sea.

    Elsewhere it will be largely dry with sunshine but also enough cloud building here and there to bring the small chance of localised sharp showers in the afternoons. Unfortunately it is impossible pin down exactly where these might occur but the risk should be a low one for any one spot.

    Easter Monday looks like being not quite as warm, then a gradual moderation in temperatures can be expected next week but still above normal for late April in many areas. The chance of showers may increase later but at the moment does not look like making much of a dent in the aridity of the last few weeks.

    If the warmth continues as expected, then we might be experiencing the warmest April, or at least one of the warmest Aprils, on record.

    If we look at the Central England Temperature (CET), a very useful proxy for the country as a whole that dates back to 1659, then the warmest April, averaging daytime and overnight temperatures, was as recently as 2007 when it was 11.2 deg C.

    According to climatologist Philip Eden (Climate-UK), the CET up to April 18 was the same. Given that we are expecting above-average temperatures through the rest of the month then there is a good chance that this figure will be exceeded.

    This would be particularly notable given how hot it was in April 2007. It beat the previous record for April, way back in 1865, by what in this context is the wide margin of 0.6 degrees.

    By: Stephen Davenport